4 Kasım 2012 Pazar

Out of Gas............

To contact us Click HERE


For the people in NYC and Brooklyn and Queens... across the region and throughout New Jersey ...for those who still have cars that drive...they are unable to drive as there is no gas. No gas anywhere to buy as few stations have any and without gas for cars and without subways working properly it's kind of hard to get around.....

A mess.

And that is putting it nicely.

Where was the preparation for this disaster that was bound to happen?

And, I have to tell you in a time and day when we spend a fortune on Homeland Security with the reasoning that we could have a massive terrorist attack in a big city... you telling me we still didn't have a plan B?

And, what is the Mayor preoccupied with?

Making sure the New York Marathon goes on ...

Seems he wants to keep the flow of tourists going that comes into the city for this event.

?????

Nice.. now they can get into the airport but not to the event, because there is no gas for the cars, taxis and oops..car services ... to use to get around.

And, adding to the problem he put in a police check point to search cars coming into the City to make sure they have three people in them at all times.

???

So, now they have cars wasting what little gas there is while parked in a traffic jam.. running out of gas IN the traffic jam in some cases making the traffic jam worse...

Can this man get it right ever?

Now is not the time to be green and force people to carpool..

Now is not the time to worry about the NYC Marathon...

Maybe all the people who were going to run in the marathon should help out and volunteer to help clean up the city.

I've never seen anyone so out of step with the real priorities of life.

While people are trying to bury their dead... and find missing people who may be dead under the debris he wants to show the world that life goes on in New York City...

People need gas to get to work ...the people who still have jobs. They need gas to check on each other and survey damage and make repairs...

This is a no brainer and why was it not properly prepared for?

The lack of gas is shutting down what is left of the city that was able to work..

My son got to his job yesterday, they used flashlights on their hard hats to survey damage.

Not sure if he was able to make it to New Jersey today and if so he better stay there because there is no gas to commute.

What a mess..

A mess that could have been prepared for and a bigger mess than postponing the marathon that preoccupies Bloomberg's some what confused mind it seems.

Besos Bobbi

Lunacy in Manhattan, Rioting in Brooklyn.. Runners & NYC Really Need the Marathon says Crazy King Bloomberg

To contact us Click HERE


I'm totally dismayed and in disbelief that a nation who honors life and the memory of the dead feels it important to have a marathon in a city where people do not have power. But, generators are being brought tin FOR THE MARATHON... not for the people without heat on cold nights without food.

People who survived the storm and have jobs cannot get to their jobs, find food, pick up their paychecks to pay bills... as the City that "never sleeps" never bothered worrying what they would do if the worse happened as we all knew it would. Their are people who not have or gas to get to work or check on their loved ones and in some cases have to bury their dead or at least identify them as bodies are STILL being pulled from the rubble on Staten Island.

Put yourself in their place.  They did everything they were supposed to.. They bought hurricane supplies, filled up their gas tanks, took money out of ATMs and made sure they had medical supplies. They live one of the biggest, most modern cities in the world and they were told to prepare for several days without power or electric. They watched the special on TWC several times on what would, could happen to NYC if a strong hurricane made landfall. They figured they were prepared and did what they could.. including living in an area of New York City or Brooklyn where they live on high land and not down by the beautiful beach.

They trusted their city officials, state officials and their President to be there for them in case the worst really happened. They prayed the best, the expected the worst and the thought the Mayor, Governor and the President had their back.

They were wrong.

Now, almost a week later.. their homes survived despite tree damage around their neighborhoods and they thanked God that they still have their family and their homes. They hunkered down preparing to wait it out.

Five days later, there is no food in the neighborhood market, there is no gas to drive somewhere to buy more food, diapers, medical supplies or those unexpected things you need after a hurricane hits your home. I've been through many a hurricane, trust me you ALWAYS forget something.  Or you just don't comprehend that "normal" doesn't return for months vs weeks vs days.

They watch in horror as they see areas they know devastated and hear stories of people who died in the storm. They think they have made it through the storm safely and yet they are wrong.

They go out looking for gas and find themselves in long lines, trapped next to people screaming, fighting and in some cases rioting. Looters go out at night lurking around for any opportunity to take away what they feel the right to take and the police are not on the streets because they are guarding gas stations and subway entrances and preparing for the New York City Marathon. Their children or their elderly parents live across town and they cannot get to them ...because they have no gas. The gas stations have power, but no gas.

And, somehow for the Emergency Preparation Teams this was a surprise and they had no real back up plan.

What were these people doing? They should be fired, at least their bosses..going all the way back on the food chain to at least the Mayor.

I find it funny that the same Democrats who rant and rave that Romney is out of touch with the simple man because he has too much money and yet... they look the other way and make excuses for Bloomberg, who is a Democrat and probably has more money than Romney. Where Romney has experience at managing things, running things and being in control... Bloomberg has spent the last several months getting super sized sodas outlawed in his city as he calls it often... in stead of preparing the city for Sandy. And, this is coming disaster was something that anyone who watched "It Could Happen Tomorrow - NYC" which was by the way a much worse hurricane.. not "Sandy"



Weather Channel: It Could Happen Tomorrow - NYC


http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=zBk-PGlgcxY

 From the first moment this storm started to form we knew it would hit the general NY/NJ area. That was a WEEKS worth of warning that this calamity was on the way.

One can only wonder what was going through the Mayor's mind when he told the people in beach towns along the water not to evacuate.

The Soda Ban should have been the first clue... Strike 1.

The "do not evacuate" should have been the second clue... Strike 2.

The need to run the NY City Marathon in a city where they are STILL finding dead bodies, where people are afraid for their life to go out looking for gas and food because of a spiraling crime problem and the lack of gas to drive anywhere... even the taxis and car services stopped driving as they ran out of gas and fierce fights have broken out at bus roots and on the few subways working that look more like a Science Fiction Movie "preppers" watch rather than "just another day in Brooklyn."

I'm sorry, but to put it politely the man is crazier than Crazy King George who "lost the colonies" and what goes through his governor's mind or the President's mind who in theory waits to be asked for help from the Mayor and the Governor.

By the way I am an Independent and have voted for more democrats for President than republicans so don't write this off as something written by a poster girl for Conservative thinking... I am pretty liberal on many levels.

I do believe that someone needs to take control of New York City and the 5 boroughs and wrestle it away from King Bloomberg who is very much like Nero putting on a marathon while other parts of NYC burn with robberies, shootings, lootings and desperation..and did I mention dead  bodies.. dead people are still being recovered in Staten Island.

I think they should all be ashamed. How ANY runner can go to NYC at a time like this and ask hotels to throw out refugees so they can have a room... and have trucks who obviously have gas truck in their water bottles and food they need for the run. Not to mention the generators being brought in for the Marathon. They should be ashamed. Is their quest for perfection as an athlete so out of kilter that they don't see they are running around a City where people cannot get the basics of life .. and many are mourning the loss of their loved ones and still searching for their dead.

Strike 3... and it's time for someone to pull the plug on the lunacy that is Bloomberg's reign on New York City.

And, where is the Governor? Where is the President? Where are the troops?

I lived in Miami through times like this.. they brought in the marines. They set up generators and trucked in gas and they took back control of the city... several times not just during Hurricane Andrew... but smaller storms.

There is lunacy going on right now in Manhattan and anyone who participates in this marathon should be ashamed of themselves and pull out now and donate money and time in any way they can to the people trying to survive one of the biggest modern day disasters that IS comparable with Katrina.

And, the media and the government..... needs to take control of New York City.

The President said eloquently the other day that we don't leave anyone behind. Well, I would beg to differ as the people of Brooklyn, New York City, Queens and other cities in New Jersey and New England without power, gas or food beg to differ..

Some thoughts around the Internet.

And, understand these are not just crazy National Enquirer Headlines, these are real..as real as it gets.

My son, the father of 3 small children, cannot get any gas and there is no food left in the stores near his house. Yes, being from Miami ... he prepared..  The lack of gas stops the food from getting to the stores for people who have cash to buy more groceries or medical supplies. They cannot get to work to pick up their paychecks and their employers cannot get them their pay checks. They cannot get to work from Crown Heights to Borough Park where their jobs are as ...there is no gas..  He drove down to Atlantic Avenue somewhere that he was told might have gas, he felt as if he was in the TV show Revolution. He witnessed people fighting, police surrounding the gas station and pulling people apart who were beating each other up. He didn't find gas. He went home quick and is worried about the safety of his family and his friends as tempers rise out of control in Brooklyn and other parts of the city. My daughter and her husband drove to a friend who lost power to give them hot food... when they got there the neighbor was crying hysterical.. she was walking down the street near her house and was mugged, physically injured by someone wearing fake Con Ed uniforms who grabbed her purse and her groceries and ran off down the block. My daughter Dina who is not afraid of much, got off of the phone when they got to the street that had no lights on as it was dangerous, as my son had said.. very sketchy, very scary... takes a lot to get her to worry for her safety. She's home, without gas and trying to conserve whatever is left in her car for her husband. When she drove down to the Beach the other day (not that far as the crow flies) she didn't think that a week later she'd have to be going through this.

No one did.

New York City and the surrounding areas looks more like the TV show Revolution than the City that Never Sleeps and who everyone loves.


The runners should be ashamed of themselves.. the Mayor who outlawed Supersize drinks is obviously living in lunacy and totally out of touch with how everyone is living in a city that feels like an apocalypse hit it, alone, on their own and fearing the mob rule breaking out as more and more people riot and lose their temper exponentially.

When people can't get food, liquor, cigarettes..the basics that keep people calm, happy and satisfied they get mean..the streets of New York are mean streets right now..


Someone do something, because Crazy King Bloomberg may be crazier and more out of touch than King George.

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/George_III_of_the_United_Kingdom

File:George III in Coronation edit.jpg



(Ps... just type in "King Bloomberg" and dozens of images come up.... so, so sad.. and scary)

Besos Bobbi

Need to ranthttp://canetalk.com/2012/11/1351873113.shtml
Posted by Fred on 11/2/2012, 11:18 am

They should cancel the NYC Marathon or reschedule it. They have these huge generators that are providing electricity to the marathoners tents in central park, will others that need it are suffering!!!!!!!!Also heard that they have tons of water ready for the marathon when it should be handed out to those that need..And out of state Utilities crews either cant get hotels rooms around the city, or have heard that crews from California that were here got kicked out of a hotel so they can use it for marathoners, and they left and are headed back to california..


Screw the marathon. NYC is going to have to use a large percentage of the police department and fire rescue for it while they should be helping in the recover efforts. I just think it is ridiculos  that they have not canceled or rescheduled the marathon. MUCH MORE IMPORTANT THINGS TO USE THE RESOURCES THEY WILL BE USING FOR THE MARATHON!!!!!!!!!! Just does not make sense to go on with it!!!!


WORRY MORE ABOUT THE PEOPLE WHO NEED HELP, NOT THE RUNNERS FOR MARATHON!!!!!!!!!!!! CANCEL IT!!!!!!!!!!!!!

Possible New Storm for NE/Mid Atlantic Next Week...

To contact us Click HERE
Just a storm, but way more than anyone up there needs. There are many people who have gone through the last few days with barely any clothing (no coats) and who lot everything in Sandy and they have not received the help that other victims of similar calamities have.. why I don't know but they haven't.

There are people with their clothes, no heat, no power..

There is a winter storm that rides the same track Sandy did...though some models keep it offshore.

A few of the models:


Another


It's a sad truth that life goes on sometimes .. and so does winter... 
From some sources online:
Mike's Weather Page
about an hour agoHere is latest EURO with loop below of possible storm affecting East coast next week. This image is dated for the 8th. GFS also shows a system, and its last model run has it farther off the coast.Photo: Here is latest EURO with loop below of possible storm affecting East coast next week. This image is dated for the 8th. GFS also shows a system, and its last model run has it farther off the coast.

Craig Setzer Meteorologist
For my friends in the Northeast, we are now watching the potential for a strong coastal Nor'easter moving from the Carolina coast on Wednesday to near Cape Cod by Thursday night.

Let's first talk about what this storm IS NOT. It is not a very large, slow moving tropical cyclone. And it is not "Sandy 2". That's important because the scope of wind and storm surge would be much smaller.

Unfortunately, what it is will be a problem for areas hardest hit by Sandy. This coastal storm is going to produce strong winds of 40 to 50 mph in some spots over areas with power lines and trees already weakened by Sandy. It is going cause some ocean flooding in areas where beach erosion has been severe. It is going produce heavy, cold rainfall on areas still trying to dry out. Most significantly this coastal storm will hamper recovery efforts by stalling repairs and in some cases setting them back. Worse than that, this will make an already bad situation even worse for those without power and living in dire conditions.

My recommendation, if you have generators and gas, keep them ready to go. If you're running on generators, use your gas sparingly. If your food supplies are down, try to get them back up by Tuesday.

Hopefully this storm will move farther offshore and it's effects will be minimal but like any storm where people are vulnerable, better to have and not need, than to need and not have.

The image below is the Nov 7, Wednesday evening forecast from the ECMWF model showing heavy rainfall in the colored contours and the coastal low moving UP the coast.

 More sources say so.. I could wax poetic about the energy that comes up from the Caribbean, merges with a front and give the front additional fuel..

And, it's going to rain and rain and rain... cold rain.. maybe snow...

We need to do more and more faster to get food, supplies, clothes to people across a many state area in the Mid-Atlantic and New England...

Please help them... in any way that you can .. whatever your charity.

Perhaps they can reschedule the Marathon and dedicate the money raised to putting everything back together again..

Besos Bobbi

http://moe.met.fsu.edu/cgi-bin/ecmwf-ensmeantc2.cgi?time=2012110212&field=Sea+Level+Pressure&hour=Animation




Storm Warnings All Over Again

To contact us Click HERE


The models are developing a "storm" that runs up the Eastern Seaboard producing winds, rain and snow over a large area from NC to New England along the same general track of Sandy.

Though not the same intensity and without the storm surge that wreaked havoc on many beach communities and Staten Island.

Still, strong winds and temperatures dropping down into the 30s over an area where many do not have power is an extremely difficult and dangerous situation. A lot can change between now and then as to the exact track, but again as before with Sandy some tracks keep the bulk of the storm offshore and others bring it onshore. A pattern is set up and this for now is the pattern until the pattern changes.

Here are a few samples of the models:



Snow Forecast

Rain Forecast

Note the Snow forecast is for a good swath of land that was affected by Sandy.. the rain more so than snow
We will know more with each model run.. moisture comes up from the Caribbean, across Florida and links up with the cold front and voila .. Sandy 2 ... a milder version..
I'm friends with a lot of people in Brooklyn who were affected. Seagate is where a lot of young couples move to buy their first home.. and then stay because it's a nice community. For Orthodox Jews who make a Jewish Sabbath and are still living in their homes it's been like a scavenger hunt. They have not had electric since the storm. 
A link on one community and how they dealt with it is below:
http://www.collive.com/show_news.rtx?id=22456&alias=shluchim-pull-off-a-shabbos
Most everyone is finding ways to cope, this tragedy affects some people harder who have weaker coping skills. Those who do..cope, go into action and then later it hits them like a ton of bricks. A ton of bricks in the head... heart and soul. Not an easy time, but time to start rebuilding .. 
More tomorrow.. just posted that for the several people who asked me how people were doing there for Shabbos.
Besos Bobbi
Ps If  you can get blankets, supplies, new coats and sweaters for children and elderly especially into the area.. good luck, they need it bad. 




Illusion of Safety .. Highlands, NJ.. a Victim of Sandy

To contact us Click HERE


 It occurs to me while watching TWC as their reporters interview people in Highland, NJ that they never show maps. Okay, I'm a little over the top when it comes to geography but I do think people need to appreciate these things. The above is a very cute little Thai restaurant with great reviews online that was badly affected by Hurricane Sandy... trying to stay open.. trying to repair and continue what was like as normal.

I love maps.

I'm on record and have been for a long time.

But, to properly understand this you need to look closer.. and understand the details of the illusion of safety from a storm surge.

I'm quoting in brackets here from Wikipedia on Highland, NJ. There are other sources, obviously, but we all love to look at Wikipedia as we love to Google so it's easiest and most simplistic.
"Highlands is a borough in Monmouth County, New Jersey, United States. As of the 2010 United States Census, the borough population was 5,005,[7][8][9] reflecting a decline of 92 (-1.8%) from the 5,097 counted in the 2000 Census, which had in turn increased by 248 (+5.1%) from the 4,849 counted in the 1990 Census.[14] It is the home town of film maker, director, and comic book writer Kevin Smith. The eastern part of the town is built on a high bluff that overlooks Sandy Hook and the Atlantic Ocean. Atop this bluff are the Navesink Twin Lights.Highlands was incorporated as a borough by an act of the New Jersey Legislature on March 22, 1900, from portions of Middletown Township. Additional portions of Middletown Township were annexed in 1914.[15]Highlands is part of the Bayshore Regional Strategic Plan, an effort by nine municipalities in northern Monmouth County to reinvigorate the area's economy by emphasizing the traditional downtowns, dense residential neighborhoods, maritime history, and the natural beauty of the Raritan Bayshore coastline."

Navesink Lighthouse

Highlands, New Jersey

type=text"The Navesink Twin Lights is a non-operational lighthouse and museum located in Highlands, New Jersey overlooking Sandy Hook Bay, the entrance to the New York Harbor and the Atlantic Ocean. The Twin Lights, as the name implies, are a pair of beacons located 246 feet above sea level on the Navesink Formation."Understand that while it is still a community on the coast much of it is above sea level. It is not New Orleans or Miami Beach. Granted some parts are lower, some higher... 
Still there is an illusion of safety when there is a barrier island in front of your town and you are "inland" on a HIGHland.
See the Barrier Island...


Note a lot of the areas that were devastated have names like "highlands" however as the crow flies they are not that far from the water and just off of Sandy Hook which I said days and days before landfall would take a direct hit of damage from wherever Sandy hit... 
Go out farther:

The water came into Raritan Bay..that little inlet and had nowhere else to go and it climbed higher than anyone thought it would that did not live on that little thin barrier island to the East. Yes, the barrier island always gets slammed.. we know that. The lesson of Sandy, who carried huge, vast amounts of water and swollen swells and slammed it into that area and the water climbs higher than expected. First the barrier island goes and then the water filled with raging waves crosses the barrier island the takes what it can from the homes close enough to the water ... even when they are in theory "up higher" than the beach.
Example.. a true storm surge from a  Category 4 or 5 in Miami coming in from the East and slamming into Miami Beach would wash a wall of water over Washington Avenue and Collins Avenue and the storm surge would travel across beautiful Biscayne Bay and deposit big boats and debris up onto Miami Shores in the same way that piano just showed up on the sandbar one morning. Except it won't be a teenage prank but  Mother Nature in a really bad mood.
Here are some links to see what Sandy did to HIGHLAND NJ.. not just the barrier islands.
http://video.today.msnbc.msn.com/today/49682965/#49682965
http://middletown-nj.patch.com/articles/atlantic-highlands-prepares-for-the-road-ahead
http://www.nj.com/monmouth/index.ssf/2012/11/atlantic_highlands_restaurants_without_power_bring_their_menus_to_the_street.html
The water of Raritan Bay swirled around Sandy Hook or across Sandy Hook and then deposited itself onto Highland NJ from the north... 
Note where the Thai Restaurant mentioned in that last link is:

The restaurant is or was where the A is on the map...  I'm sure they felt they would get by safer than Coney Island to the North or Breezy Point to the North, but Sandy had that large fetch from the North to the South that I wrote about when I was at Wilmington Beach.. Wrightsville.. .it slammed that water onto the "heights" of Highland, NJ.http://www.urbanspoon.com/cities/53-north-jersey/restaurants/1510270-kunya-siam/menuThe point I am making here is this is a real place that felt some what safe, despite slosh charts for the worst case scenario.
If it happened before, it will happen again. 
But, way back when there was no cute Thai restaurant there... 
Something to think on if you think you have the illusion of safety where you live.
3 days from more bad weather......................
My son, by the way, got gas in Brooklyn... not sure how long he waited online so he's happy.. mostly so he can go vote and have the illusion of safety ..
We all have an illusion of safety... from weather, from bad things happening.. from terrorism.
Enjoy it.. it's an illusion. 
Enjoy the good times.. prepare for the bad times and know that the worst case scenario does and will come true.. sometimes.
I posted this image on my Start of the 2012 Atlantic Hurricane Season..a look back
http://hurricaneharbor.blogspot.com/2012/06/june-1st-2012-day-1-hurricane-season.html
Besos Bobbi
More on the next storm later today...

13 Ekim 2012 Cumartesi

Tropical STORM Patty forms in the Bahamas... from TD 16

To contact us Click HERE
Against all odds... and with very little model support and a lack of respect within the tropical community... Tropical Storm Patty formed today while many looked south wondering what Invest 98 might do...


The track from the NRL:

As for the NHC... they have issued their first advisory with a "BUT" it won't last long lingo...
"BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM PATTY ADVISORY NUMBER   2
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL162012
500 PM EDT THU OCT 11 2012

...PATTY FORMS BUT IS EXPECTED TO BE SHORT LIVED..."

The discussion is even better...actually an excellent write up by one of their best forecasters. I'm highlighting the "maybe" words in red.
THE TROPICAL STORM APPEARS TO BE ON BORROWED TIME AS THERE ARE A
COUPLE OF FACTORS COMING TOGETHER THAT SHOULD WEAKEN THE CYCLONE.
FIRST...SOUTHWESTERLY SHEAR SHOULD INCREASE DURING THE NEXT DAY OR
SO DUE TO A BUILDING LOW-LEVEL RIDGE OVER THE WESTERN ATLANTIC AND
PERSISTENT UPPER-LEVEL SOUTHWESTERLY FLOW. SECOND...A COLD FRONT
IS LOCATED IN THE WESTERN PORTION OF THE CIRCULATION...AND SOME OF
THAT DRIER AND MORE STABLE AIR WILL LIKELY ENTRAIN INTO THE CENTER.
THESE ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS SHOULD CAUSE THE CYCLONE TO WEAKEN
BY TOMORROW...AND WILL LIKELY CAUSE PATTY TO SHEAR APART INTO A
TROUGH. THIS SCENARIO IS IN GOOD AGREEMENT WITH THE GLOBAL MODEL
FORECASTS...AND NO SUBSTANTIAL CHANGE IS MADE TO THE PREVIOUS
FORECAST AFTER ACCOUNTING FOR THE SLIGHTLY HIGHER INITIAL WINDS.

They refuse still to issue watches as they really believe the front will grab her and the shear will affect her and maybe they are right. As someone who grew up and lived in South Florida most of her life I can easily say.. October is about as flaky as a Goblin who had too much brew on South Beach while on vacation... 

Here's hoping Patty doesn't have a mean sense of humor and go "Boo" to the Bahamas...

GIVEN THE STRONG SOUTHWESTERLY UPPER-LEVEL WINDS...IT IS UNLIKELY
THAT PATTY COULD REACH THE BAHAMAS AS A TROPICAL STORM...AND
THEREFORE NO WATCHES OR WARNINGS ARE IN EFFECT FOR THOSE ISLANDS.

http://weather.unisys.com/satellite/sat_vis.php?image=enh&inv=0&t=l12&region=ea

song to loop by ;) http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ICnlyNUt_0o

In a 80s mood today musically so try this tune as it's what's the NHC is hoping that Patty will do.. come undone... 

Note this IS the 5 Day cone as they expect her to not make it past Friday Night..

[Image of 5-day forecast of predicted track, and coastal areas under a warning or a watch]



As for Invest 98, it looks better.... sort of... more round. Getting there slowly which is a problem as it will get further west and some models currently imply it could affect the islands... specifically PR... as it makes a turn towards the NW. I'll discuss the models later this evening, after I get a stronger feel for what this next system may or may not do...  

For those who had their tropical hearts set on her being Patty, she's a heart breaker and she could, might become Raphael... ah my heart goes pitter patter... love that name. Okay, it's my brother's Hebrew name lol. But, sounds more like some dark, sweet Spanish singer who moved to South Beach from Catalonia... 


(heartbreaker music: http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=vy-QmgdUVTI)

Some models hint at a pull to the right later down the road... for now though he's 50% still.




Sweet Tropical Dreams...
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Em0QQAhpxKg <--stunningly beautiful visual music video..
BobbiStormPs...not that I am keeping track or anything but... I was right... she didn't die or get grabbed by the trough and she will go down with a name for the 2012 season. Not sure what is next for her ...but my advice is to enjoy her stay in the tropics on the maps and dance to the  music ...

Invest 98 Goes Red at 70%

To contact us Click HERE


The NHC has upped the chances for Invest 98 to become an organized system honoring it with a RED CIRCLE and 70% chances for development.





Still looks a bit weak to me.... looked better earlier tonight, but it's a large area and it takes large areas a long time to develop.... especially this year it seems. This system is similar to other systems that were carrying dust... this system is supposedly devoid of dust so what is the problem here?

There has been some dry air running ahead of the Invest, that's almost gone now... so it's time for this Invest to show us what it has...